Most people have focused on the Republicans’ gains in the Congress (particularly, the takeover of the House of Representatives) in the 2010 midterm elections. Less discussed, but at least as important, are the gains made by the GOP in controlling governors and state legislatures. Combining the before and after maps from the National Conference of State Legislatures, we get this “throbbing” GIF:
Although the Washington Post starts with a hyperbolic headline, “Results From 2010 Census Pretty Much Ensures a Republican-Dominated House Forever” (we all saw how long James Carville’s “Forty years of Democrat dominance” prediction lasted; the admonition “Don’t get cocky” still applies after the election is over), what they report is particularly frightening news for the Democrats:
In some ways, the political situation post-Nov. 2 is even worse for the Democrats than it may appear. … [W]hat’s really bad for President Obama and his party is the likely impact of the 2010 Census and ensuing House of Representatives reapportionment on the distribution of votes in the 2012 Electoral College. … [S]ince the U.S. population continues to flow South and West, reapportionment will probably add House seats in red states and subtract them in blue states.
As it happens, all six of these states [gaining electoral votes], except for North Carolina, will have Republican governors next year, and all six, except for Nevada, will have Republican state legislatures. Texas … will gain 4 electoral votes, according to projections from preliminary Census data… The other gainers – one vote each – include Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Nevada, South Carolina and Utah. … Meanwhile, eight states that usually go blue in presidential elections – Illinois, Iowa, Massachusetts, Michigan, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania and Minnesota – are projected to lose one electoral vote each. …
So, assuming the GOP establishment actually obeys the voters (unlike the Dems, who are merely infuriated that the voters aren’t obeying them) and the Tea Party and other concerned citizens keep up their interest (and keep both parties’ feet to the fire), things could look very good for the GOP in 2012. And, more importantly, America; because it’s not just about putting the GOP back in charge but also about changing the GOP – If the GOP continue their big government ways from the last decade, don’t expect their resurgence to be as strong nor as long-lived. (H/T some links: C2)