From scottishbuzzsaw, this link describes the “complete and utter train wrecks” that are the computer models used by CRU for making up their global warming data.
Programmers all over the world have begun wading through the code and they have been stunned by how bad it is. It’s quite clearly amateurish and nothing but an accumulation of seat-of-the-pants hacks and patches.
It may be true the the scientists themselves were not programmers, even assuming that they had goals of honestly modelling climate rather than supporting pre-determined results, but there should have been some serious oversight for any model which is expected to influence economies and societies at this level.
One computer model which I worked on was subjected to a rigorous screening by the Army Accounting Agency. They went over the entire code, line by line, looking for errors before they certified it. They also took a sample set of numbers, ran it through the model, and calculated all of the results manually to make sure that they matched. (All of the data was certified by different agencies as well.) The algorithms and data were available to the people, politicians, and general public who asked to see them (except where the data was classified, of course).
Transparency and accountability. That’s how you manage a model whose output controls billions of dollars of budgeting.
Posted in Environmentalism | Comments Off on Get With the Program!
Of course, this doesn’t address the effectiveness of the government program. Usually, the trichotomy (sure, that’s a word… now) is “Fast, cheap, and good – pick any two.” In other words, if the government promises cheap health care now, it won’t be any good. If they promise good health care now, it won’t be cheap. And if they promise good, cheap health care… don’t hold your breath waiting.
“[The Emails] confirm suspicions that I have had in 30 years of working in climate science that I saw the hijacking of climate science particularly by computer modelers and then by a small group of people associated with the intergovernmental panel on climate change. The difficulty was that even though I sensed there was these thing going on, proving it is extremely difficult. But now with the exposure of these public files it is not only a smoking gun, it’s a battery of machine guns. … On A global scale it’s frightening. This group of people not only controlled the Hadley Center which controls the global data on temperatures, so that the global temperature record is in their hands, they also control the IPCC. … The IPCC is the basis in all governments for the Kyoto Protocol, the Copenhagen Accord, and so on. … The problem they had is they kept saying the 20th century and the latter part of it is the warmest ever. And of course skeptics like myself [and several other names] were saying it was warmer 1000 years ago when the Vikings were in Iceland and Greenland and that’s why they decided they had to get rid of the Medieval Warm Period and they achieved that with the hockey stick. In other words they completely rewrote the history.” —Dr. Tim Ball, historical climatologist, on the leaked CRU emails and data
I read The Weapon (a sequel to Michael Z. Williamson’s Freehold) over the weekend. It was pretty good, but I think the Freehold was better. Anyway, the last part of The Weapon took place on Earth, about five centuries in the future. When the narrator discussed some of the cities in which his operatives were operating, it revealed some interesting predictions vis-a-vis future political divisions. For instance, Tehran and Baghdad were both listed as cities in the Republic of Israel; and another city mentioned was Paris, Germany.
(Disclaimer: I don’t get any compensation from Amazon whatsoever if you buy anything I mention from them, and I wouldn’t want a Kindle if you gave it to me for free.)
I was just on the phone with my mother-in-law describing the whole Fort Hood affair to her – the shooting and all the signs ignored beforehand and denied afterwards. She hadn’t heard anything about it. I don’t watch news on TV – ever – but I guess they aren’t spending enough time talking about something they really don’t want the public to know the details about anyway. I think I forgot to mention General Casey’s response:
“I’m concerned that this increased speculation could cause a backlash against some of our Muslim soldiers…”
They wouldn’t even be admitting that he was a Muslim if Nidal Malik Hasan‘s name didn’t make it obvious. They never did for the DC sniper. Even though he legally changed his name to John Muhammed right after 9/11, the media at the time of his arrest generally only referred to him by his previous, non-muslim name. Of course, if Hasan’s actions had absolutely nothing to do with his being a muslim (as we are repeatedly assured), why are they so concerned about a huge anti-muslim backlash? (The same one that never materialized after 9/11.) You’d think they’d be more concerned about the actual victims as opposed to some delusional hypothetical victims which haven’t happened yet and probably won’t&hellip
“Our diversity, not only in our Army, but in our country, is a strength. And as horrific as this tragedy was, if our diversity becomes a casualty, I think that’s worse…”
This is just insane. The casualties that you should be concerned with are the actual, you know, casualties. The people who got shot. (And when I refer to the victims of this “tragedy” who got shot, I do not include Hasan in that number.) Slavish devotion to “diversity” caused this “tragedy”, and by refusing to face that fact and alter this insane policy, they have guaranteed that the casualties we will face in the future will be … even more casualties.
Climatologists are now forced to admit what many of us have known for years, and have been brutally attacked for stating: “Global warming appears to have stalled. Climatologists are puzzled as to why average global temperatures have stopped rising over the last 10 years.” That’s right, global temperatures stopped rising in the late 1990s, which caused absolutely no change in the rise of panic stories and outright lies about global warming from politicians, academics, and other snake-oil salesmen. They have blamed everything from earthquakes to prostitution on a problem which did not actually exist. The greatest temperature rises in the last century were in the first half, well before millions and millions of automobiles supposedly caused the phenomenon with their evil internal-combustion engines. And now, after a decade in which not a single effort to control carbon dioxide has actually been implemented. (Oh, sure, they’ve passed a few; but even though Europe and Canada have blasted us endlessly for not signing onto Kyoto, none of them are observing its strictures either. At least we’re not hypocrites, we never agreed to abide by it. They did agree, and they ain’t doing it.) So much for the billions Al Gore (soooooper genius) planned to rake in from selling all of those phony carbon credit indulgences. So much for the transnational plans to use this fraud to finally break the back of America and institute global taxes and controls. So much for the idiots who compared global warming “deniers” to Holocaust deniers.
“Whenever these Libs are shown evidence that perhaps their greatest nightmare isn’t coming true, they express disappointment rather than relief! That’s how you know this global warming scare isn’t a genuine fear, but a real DESIRE.” -Jesusland, The Blogmocracy
Of course, the real fun part of this is the recent incident where the Hadley Climatic Research Centre’s email was hacked and copies of 1079 e-mails and 72 documents were stolen and posted online. The researchers there have known about the lack of real-world data to back up the predictions of their obviously defective models, and reacted to that the same way they reacted to the Medieval warm period that didn’t fit into their fraudulent hockey-stick graph: They lied.
“I’ve just completed Mike’s Nature trick of adding in the real temps to each series for the last 20 years (ie from 1981 onwards) amd from 1961 for Keith’s to hide the decline.“ -Professor Phil Jones, HadleyCRU, in an email.
According to Steve McIntyre at Climate Audit (from Watts Up With That?), “Earlier today, CRU canceled all existing passwords. Actions speaking loudly.” The horses are free, time to lock the barn door! Furthermore, HadleyCRU admits that they were hacked and the leaked data is real. Stick in a fork it, it’s as warm as it’s going to get… or, as Senator Inhofe says to Senator Boxer in the clip above, “We won, you lost, get a life.”
Eighty-three years ago today, George Bernard Shaw refused to accept the money for his Nobel Prize (Literature, 1925). “I can forgive Alfred Nobel for inventing dynamite,” he said, “but only a fiend in human form could have invented the Nobel Prize.” (He wanted to refuse the Nobel Prize altogether, but accepted it at his wife’s behest: she considered it a tribute to Ireland.) Once again, something that Obama “should have done… But didn’t. Wouldn’t.”
This happened over a week ago, but I just heard about it now. There was no press coverage, because the Bushes wanted it that way and kept the visit secret – Lord only knows how the Bush-deranged press would have handled it anyway – but “Former President George W. Bush and his wife Laura secretly visited Fort Hood … and spent ‘considerable time’ consoling those who were wounded in [the] shooting spree” according to Fox News.
The Bushes entered and departed the sprawling military facility in secret, having told the base commander they did not want press coverage of their visit, a source told Fox News. The couple was described as “deeply concerned” about military families on Fort Hood after Army Maj. Nidal Malik Hasan allegedly opened fire on soldiers and civilians, killing 13 and wounding 38. The Bushes, who have a 1,600-acre property known as Prairie Chapel Ranch less than 30 miles from Fort Hood in central Texas, spent between one and two hours visiting the wounded and their families.
This is the way a President is expected to behave. This is a class act. And, according to a really good post over at HillBuzz.org (a Democrat pro-Hillary site), “The Obamas should have done that. But didn’t. Wouldn’t.”
We hope if any of you encounter them you will let them know this is deeply appreciated beyond partisan lines. We will never look at the Bushes, the Bush presidencies, or their legacies the same again… and someday when his presidential library is built, we will be so proud to visit there and tell anyone will listen about November 10th, 2009, the day we finally appreciated former President George W. Bush and his wife Laura.
I know the Bushes didn’t want publicity on this, but this is something that I need to share. And to remember.
Following Our Glorious Leader’s ignorant and erroneous bowinJapan, it has been revealed by “nicedeb” on HotAir that “Obama” is Japanese for “Little Beach”. (It’s the name of a city in the Fukui Prefecture of Japan – shall we assume that when you vote for Obama, you “fuk” both “u” and “i”?) Well, I don’t speak any Japanese, but I wonder if another translation of “little beach” might be “son of a beach”…
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